Khao Aur Khilao budget by Arindam Chaudhuri
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As in so many past general elections, the sad fact this time too is that none of the contestants in the fray seriously believe that their parties’ development record might count with the electorate. Those from old political families also hope that, as in the past, their “tested” brand names will work for them yet again – local problems be damned. In Kerala the Leftists – who face allegations of aligning with anti-national and communal outfits – could well be left biting the electoral dust. As for factional feuds and graft charges, there are as many in that state as in the others.
But Indian governments are not known to fall because of corruption scandals. These might rock them for a while – but the lull after the storm has always proved more enduring than the storm itself. Come to think of it, hate speeches by prominent politicians are widely expected to seat – and not unseat – the guilty candidates. And nobody thinks anything of politicians distributing freebies – and as we recently saw, even loose cash. Their parties might disqualify them, but only when the television channels splash the news 24x 7 and they are afraid their rivals will take advantage of their culpability.
So this is India, the world’s largest democracy, where criminals can be fielded with impunity and – as in Assam – militant outfits can hope to get their candidates inside Parliament, and win any party’s backing so long as it is reasonably certain that the bullet will help in securing the ballot. Read on…
Kerala
Nothing going right for the Left
Poll predictions in Kerala have fallen on their head time and again. Post-Emergency, during the 1977 general elections, Kerala voted against the national anti-Congress trend, and returned Congress candidates in nearly all the seats.
The only time voter surveys were proved right was during the assembly elections in December 2006, when a thumping majority was predicted for the Left Democratic Front (LDF). However, in the 2004 general elections no one believed that the LDF would win 18 of the 20 seats. Back then, most surveys and predictions had projected 10 seats for each of the constituents. But poll pundits this time are giving the UDF 13-plus seats.
The dice is heavily loaded against the CPM-led Left Democratic Front (LDF). The internal wrangling in the CPM and the protracted struggle between state secretary Pinarayi Vijayan and Chief Minister V.S. Achuthanandan did immense harm to governance. And the distribution of tickets itself was a testy affair. The traditional Kollam seat was denied to the Revolutionary Socialist Party, Ponnani to the CPI and Kozhikode to the Janata Dal. There were allegations that the Ponnani seat was usurped following an under-the-table deal with the Progressive Democratic Party (PDP) of Abdul Nazar Madani. (Madani is alleged to have played a major role in the Coimbatore serial blasts.) By this one act, the CPM has had its secular pretensions stripped to the bone. The CPM secretary’s sharing the dais with Madani was the last thing the public could digest. The CPI was pacified with the offer of the Wayanad seat, but the bitterness lingers on. Stung by the insult, the Janata Dal withdrew its lone minister from the cabinet, and has now split vertically. The group led by M.P. Veerendrakumar is opposing the CPM, while the other supports its candidates.
Meanwhile, the Madani-led PDP has paved the way for Muslim consolidation on the other side, with the IUML becoming the rallying point – thereby helping the UDF. The 375-crore Lavalin scandal is also coming to haunt the CPM.
Factional feuds, expulsion of VS loyalists and dilution of the party’s traditional ideology have compelled CPM dissidents to form their own outfit, the Left Coordination Panel. They have fielded candidates in five constituencies: Kozhikode, Vadakara, Palakkad, Ponnani and Attingal.
The UDF is poised to win Thiruvananthapuram, Pathananmthitta, Mavelikkara, Alappuzha, Idukki, Ernakulam, Chalakkudy, Thrissur, Palakkad, Ponnani, Malappuram, Vadakara, Wayanad, Kozhikode and Kannur. The CPM will find it difficult to breach the Opposition camp that is buttressed by dissidents, the Christian Church and caste groups.
The PDP factor will almost certainly alienate a considerable chunk of upper caste Hindu votes and a section of the LDF’s Muslim voters. The PDP votes will not compensate for this. But in some constituencies, like Vadakara, Kannur and Kollam, the PDP votes will help the LDF. It will by no means be easy for the CPM to overcome the Janata Dal in Kozhikode, Vadakara and Wayanad. And the Coordination Panel is bound to cause considerable problems in Palakkad, Kozhikode and Vadakara.
By M. Rajasekhara Panicker & Kavalam Sasikumar
For more articles, Click on IIPM Article.
Source : IIPM Editorial, 2008
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).
For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.
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As in so many past general elections, the sad fact this time too is that none of the contestants in the fray seriously believe that their parties’ development record might count with the electorate. Those from old political families also hope that, as in the past, their “tested” brand names will work for them yet again – local problems be damned. In Kerala the Leftists – who face allegations of aligning with anti-national and communal outfits – could well be left biting the electoral dust. As for factional feuds and graft charges, there are as many in that state as in the others.But Indian governments are not known to fall because of corruption scandals. These might rock them for a while – but the lull after the storm has always proved more enduring than the storm itself. Come to think of it, hate speeches by prominent politicians are widely expected to seat – and not unseat – the guilty candidates. And nobody thinks anything of politicians distributing freebies – and as we recently saw, even loose cash. Their parties might disqualify them, but only when the television channels splash the news 24x 7 and they are afraid their rivals will take advantage of their culpability.
So this is India, the world’s largest democracy, where criminals can be fielded with impunity and – as in Assam – militant outfits can hope to get their candidates inside Parliament, and win any party’s backing so long as it is reasonably certain that the bullet will help in securing the ballot. Read on…
Kerala
Nothing going right for the Left
Poll predictions in Kerala have fallen on their head time and again. Post-Emergency, during the 1977 general elections, Kerala voted against the national anti-Congress trend, and returned Congress candidates in nearly all the seats.
The only time voter surveys were proved right was during the assembly elections in December 2006, when a thumping majority was predicted for the Left Democratic Front (LDF). However, in the 2004 general elections no one believed that the LDF would win 18 of the 20 seats. Back then, most surveys and predictions had projected 10 seats for each of the constituents. But poll pundits this time are giving the UDF 13-plus seats.
The dice is heavily loaded against the CPM-led Left Democratic Front (LDF). The internal wrangling in the CPM and the protracted struggle between state secretary Pinarayi Vijayan and Chief Minister V.S. Achuthanandan did immense harm to governance. And the distribution of tickets itself was a testy affair. The traditional Kollam seat was denied to the Revolutionary Socialist Party, Ponnani to the CPI and Kozhikode to the Janata Dal. There were allegations that the Ponnani seat was usurped following an under-the-table deal with the Progressive Democratic Party (PDP) of Abdul Nazar Madani. (Madani is alleged to have played a major role in the Coimbatore serial blasts.) By this one act, the CPM has had its secular pretensions stripped to the bone. The CPM secretary’s sharing the dais with Madani was the last thing the public could digest. The CPI was pacified with the offer of the Wayanad seat, but the bitterness lingers on. Stung by the insult, the Janata Dal withdrew its lone minister from the cabinet, and has now split vertically. The group led by M.P. Veerendrakumar is opposing the CPM, while the other supports its candidates.
Meanwhile, the Madani-led PDP has paved the way for Muslim consolidation on the other side, with the IUML becoming the rallying point – thereby helping the UDF. The 375-crore Lavalin scandal is also coming to haunt the CPM.
Factional feuds, expulsion of VS loyalists and dilution of the party’s traditional ideology have compelled CPM dissidents to form their own outfit, the Left Coordination Panel. They have fielded candidates in five constituencies: Kozhikode, Vadakara, Palakkad, Ponnani and Attingal.
The UDF is poised to win Thiruvananthapuram, Pathananmthitta, Mavelikkara, Alappuzha, Idukki, Ernakulam, Chalakkudy, Thrissur, Palakkad, Ponnani, Malappuram, Vadakara, Wayanad, Kozhikode and Kannur. The CPM will find it difficult to breach the Opposition camp that is buttressed by dissidents, the Christian Church and caste groups.
The PDP factor will almost certainly alienate a considerable chunk of upper caste Hindu votes and a section of the LDF’s Muslim voters. The PDP votes will not compensate for this. But in some constituencies, like Vadakara, Kannur and Kollam, the PDP votes will help the LDF. It will by no means be easy for the CPM to overcome the Janata Dal in Kozhikode, Vadakara and Wayanad. And the Coordination Panel is bound to cause considerable problems in Palakkad, Kozhikode and Vadakara.
By M. Rajasekhara Panicker & Kavalam Sasikumar
For more articles, Click on IIPM Article.
Source : IIPM Editorial, 2008
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).
For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.
IIPM 4Ps Quiz- Shahrukh Khan Video
IIPM - Most Innovative B-School
IIPM Best B-school
IIPM
IIPM Global B-School
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IIPM 4ps Quiz
IIPM: History, and Founder Director Dr. M.K. Chaudhuri
IIPM New Delhi, The Indian Institute of Planning and Management, India
IIPM Placements New Delhi, India
IIPM New Delhi India
IIPM MBA Institute India
IIPM - International
Business and Economy - India's Most Influential Business and ...
Rankings IIPM, The Indian Institute of Planning and Management India
Management Certification, IIPM India
(IIPM) Management Education Institute India
Moneycontrol >> News >> Press- News >> IIPM ranked No1 B-School in ...
» IIPM ranked No1 B-School in India :: Education, Careers ...
The Hindu Business Line : IIPM placements hit a high of over 2000 jobs
Deccan Herald - IIPM ranked as top B-School in India
India eNews - IIPM Ranked No1 B-School in India
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domain-b.com : IIPM ranked ahead of IIMs
IIPM makes business education truly global-Education-The Times of ...
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